If none of the films on their ballots are in the running, then the ballot is removed from the sequence. 2 is eliminated, then it goes down to the third listed or whichever highest-ranked film remains “in contention.” If the voter didn’t list a third or fourth choice, they have no more say in the process, highlighting the importance of filling out your ballot completely. We’ll use three of my favorite films of 2019 that weren’t nominated - “Knives Out,” “Us” and “Waves.” Those films are no longer in the running, but every ballot that had listed them as their first or second choice receives their full votes, but now only requires 5% to secure the nomination. The next and final step involves a redistribution, or what we will call “Best Picture Redeployment,” or “BPR,” where any film that did not receive the top spot on fewer than one percent of the ballots are removed from further consideration. To keep it visual, let’s say after this round of “surplus,” three more films reached the BPN and are now best picture nominees - “Marriage Story” and “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood.” We are now up to six. 1 votes, then they go to their third choice and so on. 2 film is already a best picture nominee or is no longer in the running or didn’t receive any No. 2 spot will receive 10% of “Parasite’s” votes because it only surpassed by 10 percent. If “Parasite” received 60 votes, then the movies listed in the No. On every ballot that included “Joker” in its top spot, the film that was listed number two will now receive 50% of each of “Joker’s” votes. For instance, if “Joker” received 100 votes, it only needed a 50, double or 50% over the BPN. 2 on those ballots receives a percentage of the unneeded votes, depending on how much they surpassed the BPN. For any film that receives 10% or more of the required BPN needed, the movie listed No. We’re not going to have just four best picture nominees, so now the “Best Picture Surplus” or simply “BPS” rule kicks in. Without knowing for certain, let’s assume four of the films reached a required 50 BPN - “1917,” “The Irishman,” “Joker” and “Parasite.” To help create a visual, let’s use last year’s crop of 2019 best picture nominees: “1917,” “Ford v Ferrari,” “The Irishman,” “Jojo Rabbit,” “Joker,” “Little Women,” “Marriage Story,” “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” and “Parasite.” This year’s race looks all but locked up for A24’s “Everything Everywhere All at Once” but upsets can happen such as “Moonlight” (2016) over “12 Years a Slave,” but how do such upsets occur?
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